Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1367.133537 1562.902938 1783.056413 2050.174333 2367.106642 2733.098579 3190.565752
2025-07-20 1077.937160 1333.203117 1649.306348 2074.559373 2639.429291 3375.098810 4424.313837
2025-07-27 926.062368 1206.044263 1575.725599 2109.556348 2877.636493 3970.028877 5692.699611
2025-08-03 818.599445 1109.842844 1514.323164 2132.670023 3082.902677 4538.858619 7045.432540
2025-08-10 751.464033 1055.047335 1495.762485 2204.687298 3361.462178 5261.330879 8819.462273
2025-08-17 690.714877 999.065142 1464.066207 2246.050885 3591.928954 5946.229186 10715.726329
2025-08-24 636.087133 944.207200 1424.626891 2265.106764 3783.066751 6597.158913 12737.261567
2025-08-31 589.034358 894.891656 1386.342431 2277.698399 3961.016841 7257.320842 14983.988158
2025-09-07 554.242715 860.864167 1367.954189 2320.429155 4199.907566 8087.721173 17895.740688
2025-09-14 504.700969 797.178316 1291.630596 2245.752003 4194.086697 8403.238421 19672.903992
2025-09-21 462.535639 741.900803 1223.845056 2177.413434 4188.230124 8715.573796 21556.934463
2025-09-28 424.151177 689.714110 1156.215809 2100.296980 4150.199777 8944.590661 23299.705838
2025-10-05 410.514492 680.724148 1167.878081 2186.503514 4495.071526 10208.706925 28782.840612
2025-10-12 390.173402 657.952212 1151.668794 2213.855404 4713.957083 11224.133681 34054.024103
2025-10-19 373.048890 639.388243 1141.278417 2251.688595 4965.406704 12403.793458 40617.732701
2025-10-26 356.096862 619.557146 1126.157595 2276.697101 5190.240590 13579.817838 47959.004835
2025-11-02 345.900104 611.642733 1133.957840 2354.644855 5569.953750 15356.707310 59211.442000
2025-11-09 333.248640 597.792708 1128.002496 2399.433758 5870.444255 16991.559851 71245.962575
2025-11-16 319.440132 580.470614 1112.945105 2420.072269 6108.048596 18504.693161 84123.158573
2025-11-23 306.132977 563.079713 1096.012591 2433.711251 6329.188461 20049.399595 98846.858258
2025-11-30 296.360617 552.137248 1092.082379 2480.005587 6662.099997 22165.648425 119779.727223
2025-12-07 277.878951 521.735312 1042.056794 2399.110076 6575.097231 22558.713035 129287.671569
2025-12-14 261.313572 494.301040 996.581290 2325.120029 6497.934822 22979.226802 139705.804162